Why does AGO lag the market?
Up 20% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 89%.
- Asset Management revenue went from $76.0M in fiscal 2023 to $29.0M in fiscal 2025, down 62%.
AGO's Quality Score rose 2 points on Mon, Nov 2, to 2.
We do the work for you. Every stock is scored and ranked, every 15 seconds while the market is open. Here it's 15 minutes behind. Pro members see it live.
Up 20% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 89%.
| Holding it back | Below its 200-day since August |
| Latest filing | 10-Q, Aug 7 |
ReportReports Thursday, after the close. Every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. It fell after 3 of its last 4 reports, -2.9% on average. Past reports ›
Fri Nov 6: Q3 2026 Earnings Conference CallDate confirmed.
After its last 4 reports it closed -2.9% on average, higher 1 of 4 times.
Below Averagefor quality, not price, 5 of 14 chart checks firingWhat the Quality Score means
AGO is #7 of 7 by Quality Score among Surety Insurance.
| 1 | ||
| 2 | ||
| 3 | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| 7 |
Share count against a year before: AGO -9.4%, RDN -1.5%, NMIH -2.8%, MTG -11%.
Reports Thu Nov 5, after the close (in 3 days). Confirmed.
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
The figures are not read from the release yet.
“Scheduled net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues increased to $95 million in second quarter 2026 from $88 million in second quarter 2025 primarily due to continued growth in shorter duration strategies like fund finance that complement the rest of our long duration model.”
AGO's results filing gives no sales by line in a table we read.
No outlook figures read from this release.
“Financial Guaranty segment adjusted operating income increased to $85 million in second quarter 2026 from $76 million in second quarter 2025 primarily due to lower loss expense of $22 million primarily related to the U.S. and non-U.S. public finance sectors and the increase of $14 million in net earned premiums and credit derivative revenues in second quarter 2026.”
From its results filing (SEC filing · Aug 6)
Sales fell 0.1% a year over 5 years, fiscal 2020 to 2025.
Pays $1.52 a share a year.
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | -3.9% | -8.7% | -7.8% |
| May 7, 2026 | -4.2% | -8.9% | -7.6% |
| Feb 26, 2026 | +3.1% | -0.5% | +0.1% |
Sales grew in three of the last seven years, to $1.1B in 2025. It made a profit in each of the eight years.
2 insiders sold $4M across 3 filings in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest:
2 trades disclosed in the last six months. The newest:
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
In ETFs: AGO is under 0.1% of DGRO, under 0.1% of VIG, and under 0.1% of VYM, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by their holdings as filed for Jul 31, 2026.
Assured Guaranty Ltd. provides credit protection products to the United States and international public finance and structured finance markets and manages assets across collateralized loan obligations as well as opportunity funds and liquid funds that build on its corporate credit, asset-based finance, municipal, and healthcare experience. The company operates in two segments: the Insurance segment and the Asset Management segment. The majority of the revenue earned by the company is from the Insurance segment.
“The life and annuity reinsurance market is highly competitive.”
AGO scores 2 today, which Breakaway calls Below Average. It is #7 of 7 in Surety Insurance by Quality Score, with 5 of 14 chart checks firing. Up 20% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 89%. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
AGO scores 2 today, which Breakaway calls Below Average (0 to 5). That is #7 of 7 in Surety Insurance by Quality Score. The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind AGO's 2.
2 insiders sold $4M across 3 filings in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest is Lorin Radtke, Director, who sold $78K on May 29. Every filing, with the scored weight, for Pro members.
Only on the public pages, which run at least 15 minutes behind. Pro members, and anyone on a guest pass, see real-time prices: the scanner refreshes every 15 seconds, and your watchlist every few seconds, pre-market and after hours included.