Why is STZ down?
Down 35% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 80%; up 17% in the past year.
- Constellation Wines and Spirits revenue went from $1.80B in fiscal 2024 to $823.8M in fiscal 2026, down 54%.
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Down 35% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 80%; up 17% in the past year.
| Since its 2023 high | Down 47% |
| Latest filing | 10-Q, Oct 7 |
After its last 4 reports it closed +3.6% on average, higher 3 of 4 times.
Averagefor quality, not price, 4 of 14 chart checks firingWhat the Quality Score means
STZ is #9 of 10 by Quality Score.
| Rank | Stock | Quality Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||
| 2 | ||
| 3 | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| 9 |
Cash and short-term investments: STZ $98.5M, PEP $11.2B.
Expected to report Thu Jan 7, after the close (in 58 days).
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
Sales of $2.8B; a profit of $3.32 a share.
| Line | Q2 FY27 | Q2 FY26 |
|---|---|---|
| Beer | $2.5B | $2.3B |
Each quarter's sales and their share of its total. Figures as filed (SEC filing, Oct 7)
| Measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| Reported EPS | $11.85 to $12.55 |
Sales grew 1.2% a year over 5 years, fiscal 2021 to 2026.
Pays $4.12 a share a year.
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | -1.1% | +2.4% | +9.8% |
| Jun 30, 2026 | +2.6% | -1.6% | -6.3% |
| Apr 8, 2026 | +0.5% | +8.5% | +9.1% |
Sales grew in six of the last seven years, to $9.1B in 2026. It turned a profit in 2026 after a loss in 2025.
RSI 67.4, MACD above signal, above both averages. Not scored.
Its dividends come to 38% of its free cash flow.
| Dividend | $4.12 a share a year |
| Paid out | About $703M a year |
| Free cash flow | $1.8B |
| Record | Raised each of the last 6 years |
20 trades disclosed in the last six months. The newest:
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
In ETFs: STZ is 0.1% of DGRO, under 0.1% of VIG, and under 0.1% of VYM, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by their holdings as filed for Jul 31, 2026.
Constellation Brands is the largest provider of alcoholic beverages across the beer, wine, and spirits categories in the US, generating more than 90% of revenue from Mexican beer imports under top-selling brands such as Modelo and Corona. The rest of the business includes some remaining wine and spirits brands, categories where the company has pruned assets in recent years. With its exclusive rights tied to the Mexican beer brands effective only in the US, the firm has limited revenue exposure to international markets. Constellation owns a 10% stake in Canopy Growth, a medicinal and recreational cannabis producer in Canada, and has a 50/50 joint venture with glass manufacturer Owens-Illinois in Mexico.
“The beverage alcohol industry is highly competitive.”
STZ scores 6 today, which Breakaway calls Average. It is #9 of 10 in Beverages by Quality Score, with 4 of 14 chart checks firing. Down 35% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 80%; up 17% in the past year. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
STZ scores 6 today, which Breakaway calls Average (6 to 10). That is #9 of 10 in Beverages by Quality Score. The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind STZ's 6.
Expected to report Thu Jan 7, after the close, a date Breakaway expects from the company's usual timing; the company has not confirmed it. STZ closed higher after 3 of its last 4 reports. Past behavior, not a forecast.
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Insider and Congress trades, the chart, and the financials, in one score.
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