Why GO lags the market
Down 49% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 80%; up 20% in the past year.
- Comparable store sales fell 0.3% in the quarter reported Aug 12, and diluted EPS went from $0.65 in fiscal 2022 to -$2.30 in fiscal 2025.
GO's Quality Score rose 2 points on Tue, Nov 10, to 12. Buying reached its highest in 20 days (2 chart checks started).
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Down 49% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 80%; up 20% in the past year.
| Since its 2022 high | Down 70% |
| Its score | Up:Up to Above Average for the first time since Feb 2024 |
| Latest filing | 8-K, Nov 10 |
ReportToday after the close: sales of $1.2B; a profit of $0.13 a share. Raised its outlook. Past reports ›
After hoursGrocery Outlet reported $1.18 billion of quarterly revenue and a profit of $0.13 a share
Expected to report Wed Mar 3, after the close
Above Averagefor quality, not price, 8 of 14 chart checks firingWhat the Quality Score means
Well above its recent run. GO scores 12 today, against a median of 8 over its last 20 recorded sessions.
GO is #4 of 7 by Quality Score.
| Rank | Stock | Quality Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||
| 2 | ||
| 3 | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| 4 |
Net income over four quarters: GO -$381M, SFM $496M.
Expected to report Wed Mar 3, after the close (in 113 days).
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
Sales of $1.2B, 1% more than a year ago; a profit of $0.13 a share.
“Net sales increased 0.9% to $1.18 billion due to new store sales and a 0.5% increase in comparable store sales, partially offset by decreased sales from store closures as a result of the Optimization Plan as further discussed below.”
GO's results filing gives no sales by line in a table we read.
| Measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| Total net restructuring charges under the Optimization Plan | $22M to $29M |
“Gross margin was 30.0%, a decline of 40 basis points due primarily to the impact of product promotions to drive sales, higher transportation expenses, and the impact from a broad reduction in consumer demand for produce as a result of a Cyclospora outbreak associated with certain fresh produce items, partially offset by a favorable shift in sales mix toward opportunistic products.”
From its results filing (SEC filing · Nov 10)
Sales grew 8.4% a year over 5 years, fiscal 2020 to 2025.
Its share count fell 0.1% a year over 5 years.
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | +9.4% | +6.2% | +11.1% |
| May 13, 2026 | +17.7% | -0.9% | +5.0% |
| Mar 4, 2026 | -24.9% | -27.9% | -29.5% |
Sales grew in six of the last seven years, to $4.7B in 2025. It lost money in 2025 after a profit in 2024.
RSI 63.0, MACD above signal, above both averages. Not scored.
2 insiders bought $404K across 4 filings, and one insider sold $16K across 1 filing, in the last 6 months. The newest:
One trade disclosed in the last six months. The newest:
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
In ETFs: GO is under 0.1% of VTI, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by their holdings as filed for Jun 30, 2026.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp is a grocery store operator in the United States. It is a retailer of quality, name-brand consumables and fresh products sold through a network of independently operated stores. The stores are run by Entrepreneurial independent operators which create a neighborhood feel through personalized customer service and a localized product offering.
“We compete for consumer spend with a diverse group of retailers, including mass, discount, conventional grocery, department, drug, convenience, hardware, variety, online and other specialty stores.”
GO scores 12 today, which Breakaway calls Above Average. It is #4 of 7 in Retail-Grocery Stores by Quality Score, with 8 of 14 chart checks firing. Down 49% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 80%; up 20% in the past year. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
GO scores 12 today, which Breakaway calls Above Average (11 to 14). That is #4 of 7 in Retail-Grocery Stores by Quality Score. The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind GO's 12.
2 insiders bought $404K across 4 filings, and one insider sold $16K across 1 filing, in the last 6 months. The newest is Carey F. Jaros, Director, who bought $176K on Aug 27. Every filing, with the scored weight, for Pro members.
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Insider and Congress trades, the chart, and the financials, in one score.
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