Why is ALK down?
Down 29% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 72%.
- Down 46% from its 2025 high as a $395M profit became a $395M loss,
ALK's Quality Score fell 1 point on Tue, Nov 10, to -1. Its price is now lower than a year ago.
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Down 29% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 72%.
| Latest filing | 10-Q, Nov 6 |
“International Oil Prices Fall Together; WTI Drops 3.4%, Brent Down 3.8%”
ALK closed +7.1% that day.
After its last 4 reports it closed -1.4% on average, higher 1 of 4 times.
Poorfor quality, not price, 3 of 14 chart checks firingWhat the Quality Score means
ALK is #14 of 15 by Quality Score.
| Rank | Stock | Quality Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||
| 2 | ||
| 3 | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| 14 |
Net income over four quarters: ALK -$395M, SKYW $413M, AAL -$481M.
Expected to report Thu Jan 21, after the close (in 72 days).
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
Sales of $4.3B, 14% more than a year ago; a loss of $1.32 a share, from a profit of $0.62.
ALK's results filing gives no sales by line in a table we read.
| Measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| Adjusted loss per share | between ($5.50) and ($5.00) |
“Elevated fuel costs are expected to remain a significant headwind to near-term profitability, with our guidance assuming a fourth quarter economic fuel cost of $4.65 to $4.85 per gallon, or $650 million higher than our initial plan.”
From its results filing (SEC filing · Oct 20)
Sales grew 14% a year over 3 years, fiscal 2022 to 2025.
Its share count fell 2.1% a year over 3 years.
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | -1.5% | -2.4% | +4.5% |
| Jul 21, 2026 | -4.3% | -2.4% | +6.9% |
| Apr 20, 2026 | -3.5% | -4.8% | -7.1% |
Sales grew every year from 2022 to 2025, to $14B. It made a profit in each of the four years.
RSI 61.8, MACD above signal, above its 50-day, below its 200-day. Not scored.
One insider bought $1M across 1 filing, and one insider sold $263K across 1 filing, in the last 6 months. The newest:
One trade disclosed in the last six months. The newest:
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
In ETFs: ALK is under 0.1% of VTI, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by their holdings as filed for Jun 30, 2026.
Alaska Air Group Inc operates two airlines, Alaska and Horizon, in three operating segments. The Alaska Airlines segment includes scheduled air transportation on Alaska's Boeing and Airbus jet aircraft for passengers and cargo throughout the U.S., and in parts of Mexico and Costa Rica. The Regional segment includes Horizon's and other third-party carriers' scheduled air transportation for passengers across a shorter distance network within the U.S. and Canada under capacity purchase agreements. The Hawaiian Airlines segment includes scheduled air transportation on Hawaiian's Boeing and Airbus aircraft for passengers and cargo. It earns revenues from Passenger tickets, including ticket breakage and net of taxes and fees, Passenger ancillary, and Mileage Plan passenger revenue.
“Competition in the airline industry can be intense and unpredictable.”
ALK scores -1 today, which Breakaway calls Poor. It is #14 of 15 in Air Transportation, Scheduled by Quality Score, with 3 of 14 chart checks firing. Down 29% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 72%. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
ALK scores -1 today, which Breakaway calls Poor (below zero). That is #14 of 15 in Air Transportation, Scheduled by Quality Score. The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind ALK's -1.
One insider bought $1M across 1 filing, and one insider sold $263K across 1 filing, in the last 6 months. The newest is Benito Minicucci, CEO and President, who bought $1M on Aug 20. Every filing, with the scored weight, for Pro members.
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Insider and Congress trades, the chart, and the financials, in one score.
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