VST's Quality Score rose 3 points on Tue, Nov 10, to 9. Sales grew 20% on the year, from 20%.
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Up 16% from Nov 5 to Nov 10.
| The company | Profit up 135% to $2.7B |
| Latest filing | 10-Q, Nov 9 |
Tue Dec 22: Ex-dividend, $0.231 a shareAt the open. Pays Dec 31.
After its last 4 reports it closed +2.0% on average, higher 2 of 4 times.
Averagefor quality, not price, 3 of 14 chart checks firingWhat the Quality Score means
VST is #14 of 45 by Quality Score.
| Rank | Stock | Quality Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||
| 2 | ||
| 3 | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| 14 |
Share count against a year before: VST -1%, CEG +15%, NRG +8.8%, IDA +6.6%.
Expected to report Thu Feb 25, before the open (in 107 days).
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
Sales of $6.3B, 28% more than a year ago.
“Net Income for the third quarter 2026 increased $488 million compared to the third quarter 2025, driven primarily by higher EBITDA and an increase in unrealized mark-to-market gains of $375 million on derivative positions, partly offset by higher depreciation and amortization expense driven primarily by three months' contribution from the plants acquired from Lotus, the partial impairment of the Moss Landing 350 facility, and higher taxes.”
VST's results filing gives no sales by line in a table we read.
| Measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| Ongoing Operations adjusted EBITDA | $7.1B to $7.5B |
“Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter 2026 increased by $797 million compared to the third quarter 2025, driven primarily by higher realized energy and capacity prices, three months' contribution from the plants acquired from Lotus, and the return of Martin Lake Unit 1 to operational status.”
From its results filing (SEC filing · Nov 6)
Sales grew 9.2% a year over 5 years, fiscal 2020 to 2025.
Pays $0.92 a share a year.
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | +5.9% | +10.6% | not yet |
| Aug 7, 2026 | -2.0% | -0.6% | +3.5% |
| May 7, 2026 | +3.0% | -2.7% | -9.9% |
Sales grew in six of the last seven years, to $18B in 2025. It made a profit in five of the eight years.
RSI 44.7, MACD below signal, below both averages. Not scored.
One insider bought $1.2M across 3 filings, and one insider sold $1.6M across 2 filings, in the last 6 months. The newest:
18 trades disclosed in the last six months. The newest:
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
In ETFs: VST is under 0.1% of VOO, under 0.1% of IVV, and under 0.1% of SPY, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by their holdings as filed for Jun 30, 2026 (SPY's as filed by IVV).
Vistra Corp. is one of the largest power producers and retail energy providers in the US. It owns 44 gigawatts of generation capacity, including natural gas (27 GW), nuclear (6.5 GW), coal (8.7 GW), and solar and battery storage (1.3 GW). The Cogentrix acquisition will add 5.5 GW of gas generation. Vistra's retail electricity business serves 5 million customers in 20 states, including almost a third of all Texas electricity consumers. Vistra emerged from the Energy Future Holdings bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in 2016.
“Competition in the markets in which we operate is impacted by electricity and fuel prices, congestion along the power grid, subsidies provided by state and federal governments for new and existing generation facilities, including renewables generation and battery ESS, new market entrants, construction of new generation assets, technological advances in power generation, the actions of environmental and other regulatory authorities, and other factors.”
VST scores 9 today, which Breakaway calls Average. It is #14 of 45 in Electric Services by Quality Score, with 3 of 14 chart checks firing. Up 16% from Nov 5 to Nov 10. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
VST scores 9 today, which Breakaway calls Average (6 to 10). That is #14 of 45 in Electric Services by Quality Score. The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind VST's 9.
One insider bought $1.2M across 3 filings, and one insider sold $1.6M across 2 filings, in the last 6 months. The newest is James A. Burke, President and CEO, who bought $604K on Sep 1. Every filing, with the scored weight, for Pro members.
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Insider and Congress trades, the chart, and the financials, in one score.
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