Why VLO beats the market
Up 499% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 76%.
- Refining margin went from $22.35 on Oct 29, 2021 to $41.18 a barrel on Oct 27, 2026 (EIA spot price).
VLO's Quality Score fell 1 point on Mon, Nov 2, to 16.
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Up 499% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 76%.
| The company | 5.8% fewer shares than a year ago |
| Latest filing | 8-K, Oct 30 |
TodayOil and tanker stocks fell together: “Oil Prices Slide And Energy Stocks Follow Lower”
Tue Nov 24: Ex-dividend, $1.20 a shareAt the open. Pays Dec 21.
After its last 4 reports it closed +0.2% on average, higher 2 of 4 times.
Excellentfor quality, not price, 5 of 14 chart checks firingWhat the Quality Score means
VLO is #6 of 16 by Quality Score among Petroleum Refining.
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Net income over four quarters: VLO $7.21B, CVX $20.6B, MPC $8.55B, PSX $7.09B.
Expected to report Thu Jan 28, before the open (in 87 days). Expected.
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
Sales of $46.1B, 43% more than a year ago.
VLO's results filing gives no sales by line in a table we read.
No outlook figures read from this release.
Sales grew 14% a year over 5 years, fiscal 2020 to 2025.
Pays $4.80 a share a year.
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | +0.6% | -2.4% | -11.1% |
| Jul 30, 2026 | -1.6% | +3.5% | +0.4% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | -2.2% | +0.5% | -5.8% |
Sales grew in two of the last seven years, to $123B in 2025. It made a profit in seven of the eight years.
One insider sold $5.7M across 3 filings in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest:
4 trades disclosed in the last six months. The newest:
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
In ETFs: VLO is 0.5% of VYM, 0.2% of SPYI, and 0.2% of VOO, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by each fund's latest filing, Jun 30 to Jul 31, 2026.
Valero Energy is one of the largest independent refiners in the United States. It operates 15 refineries, with a total throughput capacity of 3.2 million barrels a day in the US, Canada, and the United Kingdom. Valero also owns 12 ethanol plants with capacity of 1.6 billion gallons a year and holds a 50% stake in Diamond Green Diesel, which can produce 1.2 billion gallons per year of renewable diesel.
VLO scores 16 today, which Breakaway calls Excellent. It is #6 of 16 in Petroleum Refining by Quality Score, with 5 of 14 chart checks firing. Up 499% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 76%. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
VLO scores 16 today, which Breakaway calls Excellent (15 to 19). That is #6 of 16 in Petroleum Refining by Quality Score. The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind VLO's 16.
One insider sold $5.7M across 3 filings in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest is Eric A. Fisher, SVP, who sold $2M on Jun 29. Every filing, with the scored weight, for Pro members.
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