Why is KHC down?
Down 13% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 80%.
“Organic Net Sales decreased 4.7% to $18.6 billion in 2025 compared to $19.5 billion in 2024, primarily due to unfavorable volume/mix (5.0 pp)”
KHC's Quality Score fell 2 points on Tue, Nov 10, to 1. Its price fell below its falling average of the last 200 days.
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Down 13% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 80%.
“Organic Net Sales decreased 4.7% to $18.6 billion in 2025 compared to $19.5 billion in 2024, primarily due to unfavorable volume/mix (5.0 pp)”
| Since its 2022 high | Down 45% |
| Latest filing | 8-K, Nov 4 |
Kraft Heinz to Divest North American Coffee Business in Private Equity Deal
A results day: the move is left out.
After its last 4 reports it closed +0.8% on average, higher 3 of 4 times.
Below Averagefor quality, not price, 2 of 14 chart checks firingWhat the Quality Score means
KHC is #2 of 3 by Quality Score.
| Rank | Stock | Quality Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||
| 2 | ||
| 3 |
Expected to report Wed Feb 10, before the open (in 92 days).
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
Sales of $6.1B, 2% less than a year ago.
“Operating Income/(Loss) of $0.9 billion decreased 14.6 percent versus the year-ago period, primarily due to increased inflationary pressures in procurement and logistics costs, higher variable compensation expense, non-cash impairment losses that were $37 million higher in the current year period, unfavorable volume/mix, and increased advertising expenses.”
| Line | Q3 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Condiments, Sauces, and Spreads | $2.8B | $2.9B | $2.7B |
Each quarter's sales and their share of its total. Figures as filed (SEC filing, Nov 4)
| Measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| Organic net sales | 0.50% to 1.25% |
“The unfavorable volume/mix impact was primarily driven by declines in North America across meats, sauces, and refreshment beverages, in addition to an approximate 80 basis point headwind from inventory pull forward into the second quarter.”
From its results filing (SEC filing · Nov 4)
Sales fell 1% a year over 5 years, fiscal 2020 to 2025.
Pays $1.60 a share a year.
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | +3.2% | +3.8% | -1.1% |
| Aug 5, 2026 | +1.2% | -3.4% | -7.5% |
| May 6, 2026 | +2.8% | +2.4% | +3.7% |
Sales grew in three of the last seven years, to $25B in 2025. It lost money in 2025 after a profit in 2024.
RSI 50.8, MACD above signal, above both averages. Not scored.
Its dividends come to 54% of its free cash flow.
| Dividend | $1.60 a share a year |
| Paid out | About $1.9B a year |
| Free cash flow | $3.5B |
One insider sold $427K across 1 filing in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest:
6 trades disclosed in the last six months. The newest:
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
In ETFs: KHC is 0.2% of QQQI, 0.1% of QQQ, and 0.1% of QQQM, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by each fund's latest filing, Jun 30 to Aug 31, 2026.
In July 2015, Kraft merged with Heinz to create one of North America's largest food and beverage manufacturers. Beyond its namesake brands, its portfolio includes Oscar Mayer, Velveeta, and Philadelphia (cream cheese spread). While the retail channel drives around 85% of its total sales, the firm also maintains a growing foodservice presence. Outside North America, Kraft Heinz's global reach encompasses a distribution network in Europe and emerging markets, which accounts for around 25% of its consolidated sales base. The company sells its products in more than 190 countries and territories.
“Our products are sold in highly competitive marketplaces, including e-commerce retailers, large-format retailers, and discounters.”
KHC scores 1 today, which Breakaway calls Below Average. It is #2 of 3 in Canned, Frozen & Preserved Fruit, Vegetables & Food Specialties by Quality Score, with 2 of 14 chart checks firing. Down 13% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 80%. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
KHC scores 1 today, which Breakaway calls Below Average (0 to 5). That is #2 of 3 in Canned, Frozen & Preserved Fruit, Vegetables & Food Specialties by Quality Score. The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind KHC's 1.
One insider sold $427K across 1 filing in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest is Diana Frost, Glbl Chief Growth Officer, who sold $427K on Jun 18.
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Insider and Congress trades, the chart, and the financials, in one score.
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