Why HCC beats the market
Up 340% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 72%; up 7% in the past year.
“Cost of sales increased to $340.0 million, or 68% of sales, driven primarily by a 65% increase in sales tons.”
HCC's Quality Score rose 3 points on Tue, Nov 10, to 9. Its price settled into a narrow range (3 chart checks started).
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Up 340% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 72%; up 7% in the past year.
“Cost of sales increased to $340.0 million, or 68% of sales, driven primarily by a 65% increase in sales tons.”
| The company | Sales up 52% on the year |
| Latest filing | 8-K, Nov 4 |
After its last 4 reports it closed +0.6% on average, higher 2 of 4 times.
Averagefor quality, not price, 5 of 14 chart checks firingWhat the Quality Score means
HCC is #1 of 4 by Quality Score.
| Rank | Stock | Quality Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||
| 2 | ||
| 4 |
Sales over four quarters against a year before: HCC +52%, CNR +17%.
Expected to report Thu Feb 11, after the close (in 93 days).
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
Sales of $507.9M, 55% more than a year ago; a profit of $0.93 a share, from $0.70.
“Total revenues were $507.9 million for the third quarter of 2026, reflecting a 48% increase in sales volumes and a 6% increase in the average net selling price.”
| Line | Q3 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Product | $501M | $504M | $320M |
Each quarter's sales and their share of its total. Figures as filed (SEC filing, Nov 4)
| Measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| Cash cost of sales (free-on-board port) | 12.5 - 13.5 million short tons |
“Increased sales volumes 48% to 3.5 million short tons and increased production volumes 36% to 3.1 million short tons driven by contributions from the Blue Creek mine.”
From its results filing (SEC filing · Nov 4)
Sales grew 11% a year over 5 years, fiscal 2020 to 2025.
Pays $0.32 a share a year.
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | -1.7% | -0.1% | not yet |
| Aug 5, 2026 | +2.7% | +6.3% | +14.7% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | -7.5% | -4.1% | -2.2% |
| Feb 12, 2026 | -1.2% | +0.2% | -1.3% |
Sales grew in two of the last seven years, to $1.3B in 2025. It made a profit in seven of the eight years.
RSI 48.0, MACD above signal, below both averages. Not scored.
2 insiders sold $836K across 2 filings in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest:
One trade disclosed in the last six months. The newest:
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
In ETFs: HCC is under 0.1% of VTI, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by their holdings as filed for Jun 30, 2026.
Warrior Met Coal Inc produces and exports met or steelmaking coal, which is used as a component for steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. The company is involved in longwall mining operations in its underground mines based in Alabama, Mine No. 4, Mine No. 7, and Blue Creek. Additionally, its natural gas operations remove and sell natural gas from owned and leased coal seams by reducing natural gas levels in its mines. The company generates revenue mainly through the production of steelmaking coal for sale to the steel industry. Geographically, the firm generates maximum revenue from its customers in Asia, followed by Europe, South America, and the United States.
“Our major competitors sell into our core business areas of Asia, Europe and South America.”
HCC scores 9 today, which Breakaway calls Average. It is #1 of 4 in Bituminous Coal & Lignite Mining by Quality Score, with 5 of 14 chart checks firing. Up 340% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 72%; up 7% in the past year. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
HCC scores 9 today, which Breakaway calls Average (6 to 10). That is #1 of 4 in Bituminous Coal & Lignite Mining by Quality Score. The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind HCC's 9.
2 insiders sold $836K across 2 filings in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest is Stephen D. Williams, Director, who sold $500K on Aug 19. Every filing, with the scored weight, for Pro members.
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Insider and Congress trades, the chart, and the financials, in one score.
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