Why DINO beats the market
Its price rose 118% in a year while the S&P 500's rose 11%.
“This increase was principally driven by strong refining margins and volumes in the Mid-Continent and West regions as a result of steady demand”
DINO's Quality Score rose 1 point on Fri, Oct 30, to 17. Made a higher high and a higher low.
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Its price rose 118% in a year while the S&P 500's rose 11%.
“This increase was principally driven by strong refining margins and volumes in the Mid-Continent and West regions as a result of steady demand”
| Outperforming | Up 142% this year vs the S&P's +10% |
| Latest filing | 8-K, Oct 30 |
TodayRefiner stocks fell together: “Oil prices tumble as US-Iran diplomatic efforts ease supply fears”
HF Sinclair Corporation filed an 8-K reporting a change of CEO and board chair
DINO closed −0.1% the next session (Oct 29).
Thu Nov 12: Ex-dividend, $0.525 a shareAt the open. Pays Dec 2.
After its last 4 reports it closed -2.9% on average, higher 1 of 4 times.
Excellentfor quality, not price, 3 of 14 chart checks firingWhat the Quality Score means
DINO is #1 of 6 by Quality Score among Pipe Lines.
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Sales over four quarters against a year before: DINO +16%, ENB +29%, MPLX +8.7%, PAGP +12%.
Expected to report Wed Feb 17, before the open (in 107 days). Expected.
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
The figures are not read from the release yet.
“Adjusted renewables gross margins increased as a result of improved RINs prices, higher Producer's Tax Credit benefits and increased sales volumes compared to the third quarter of 2025.”
DINO's results filing gives no sales by line in a table we read.
No outlook figures read from this release.
“The increase was primarily driven by sales mix optimization and strong product and base oil prices in the third quarter of 2026 compared to the third quarter of 2025.”
From its results filing (SEC filing · Oct 28)
Sales grew 19% a year over 5 years, fiscal 2020 to 2025.
Pays $2.10 a share a year.
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | +3.0% | -2.0% | open |
| Jul 28, 2026 | +0.9% | -1.6% | -2.4% |
| May 1, 2026 | -0.7% | +2.9% | +4.9% |
Sales grew in two of the last five years, to $27B in 2025. It made a profit in five of the six years.
Its dividends come to 16% of its free cash flow.
| Dividend | $2.10 a share a year |
| Paid out | About $369M a year |
| Free cash flow | $2.3B |
| Record | Raised in the last year |
2 insiders bought $3.5M across 4 filings, and 5 insiders sold $1.7M across 5 filings, in the last 6 months. The newest:
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
In ETFs: DINO is 0.4% of SCHD, under 0.1% of VYM, and under 0.1% of VTI, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by each fund's latest filing, Jun 30 to Aug 31, 2026.
HF Sinclair is an integrated petroleum refiner that owns and operates seven refineries serving the Rockies, midcontinent, Southwest, and Pacific Northwest, with a total crude oil throughput capacity of 678,000 barrels per day. It can produce 380 million gallons of renewable diesel annually. It operates a marketing business with over 350 distributors and 1,700 branded wholesale sites across 30 states. It also owns and operates 4,500 miles of petroleum product pipelines and terminals principally in the Southwestern United States.
“The El Dorado Refinery faces competition from other Plains states and Mid-Continent refiners, but the principal competitors for the El Dorado Refinery are Gulf Coast refiners.”
DINO scores 17 today, which Breakaway calls Excellent. It is #1 of 6 in Pipe Lines by Quality Score, with 3 of 14 chart checks firing. Its price rose 118% in a year while the S&P 500's rose 11%. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
DINO scores 17 today, which Breakaway calls Excellent (15 to 19). That is #1 of 6 in Pipe Lines by Quality Score. The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind DINO's 17.
2 insiders bought $3.5M across 4 filings, and 5 insiders sold $1.7M across 5 filings, in the last 6 months. The newest is Franklin Myers, CEO, who bought $1.1M on Oct 29. Every filing, with the scored weight, for Pro members.
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