Why does CARR lag the market?
Up 10% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 80%.
- Its profit per share fell by more than half,
CARR's Quality Score fell 2 points on Tue, Nov 10, to -4. It did not trade higher than the day before (2 chart checks stopped).
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Up 10% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 80%.
| Holding it back | Below its 200-day since August |
| Latest filing | 8-K, Nov 4 |
Wed Nov 11: Baird 56th Annual Global Industrial…Investor conference · date confirmed.
After its last 4 reports it closed -0.5% on average, higher 1 of 4 times.
Poorfor quality, not price, 0 of 14 chart checks firingWhat the Quality Score means
Well below its recent run. CARR scores -4 today, against a median of 1.5 over its last 20 recorded sessions.
CARR is #4 of 5 by Quality Score.
| Rank | Stock | Quality Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||
| 2 | ||
| 3 | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| 4 |
Net income over four quarters: CARR -$1.80B, LII $750M, AAON $205M.
Expected to report Thu Feb 4, before the open (in 86 days).
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
Sales of $6.3B, 12% more than a year ago; a loss of $3.16 a share.
“The increase in adjusted EPS was primarily driven by higher operating profit and the benefits of a lower share count, partially offset by a higher effective tax rate and higher non-controlling interest related to the IEEPA refunds.”
| Line | Q3 2026 | Q3 2025 |
|---|---|---|
| Product | $5.6B | $4.9B |
Each quarter's sales and their share of its total. Figures as filed (SEC filing, Oct 29)
| Measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| Sales | about $24B |
Sales grew 4.5% a year over 5 years, fiscal 2020 to 2025.
Pays $0.96 a share a year.
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | -4.9% | -1.3% | -1.1% |
| Jul 28, 2026 | -2.6% | -8.9% | -8.9% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | +4.0% | +8.8% | +10.0% |
Sales grew in three of the last seven years, to $22B in 2025. It made a profit in each of the four years.
RSI 39.8, MACD below signal, below both averages. Not scored.
Its dividends come to 33% of its free cash flow.
| Dividend | $0.96 a share a year |
| Paid out | About $785M a year |
| Free cash flow | $2.4B |
| Record | Raised each of the last 5 years |
One insider sold $750M across 1 filing in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest:
12 trades disclosed in the last six months. The newest:
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
In ETFs: CARR is 0.2% of VYM, 0.1% of DGRO, and under 0.1% of SPYI, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by each fund's latest filing, Jun 30 to Jul 31, 2026.
Carrier Global, spun out of United Technologies in 2020, manufactures and services commercial and residential HVAC systems and transportation refrigeration solutions under its flagship Carrier brand, as well as Bryant, Payne, Heil, and others across various price points. In 2024, Carrier acquired Viessmann Climate Solutions to expand its footprint in Europe with heat pumps, boilers, and solar PV equipment. Proceeds from the sale of Carrier's fire and security (Honeywell) and commercial refrigeration (Haier) businesses reduced debt and focused the company on global HVAC and refrigeration solutions. Carrier generates 75% of sales from equipment and 25% from parts and services. The company derives 50% of revenue from the US, 30% from Europe, and 20% from the Asia-Pacific region.
“Each of our businesses is subject to significant competition from a number of companies throughout the world.”
CARR scores -4 today, which Breakaway calls Poor. It is #4 of 5 in Air-Conditioning & Warm Air Heating Equipment & Commercial & Industrial Refrigeration Equipment by Quality Score, with 0 of 14 chart checks firing. Up 10% over three years while the S&P 500 rose 80%. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
CARR scores -4 today, which Breakaway calls Poor (below zero). That is #4 of 5 in Air-Conditioning & Warm Air Heating Equipment & Commercial & Industrial Refrigeration Equipment by Quality Score. The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind CARR's -4.
One insider sold $750M across 1 filing in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest is Maximilian Viessmann, Director, who sold $750M on May 20.
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Insider and Congress trades, the chart, and the financials, in one score.
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