Why ARM is down
Down 35% from Aug 10 to Nov 6.
- Our sources do not explain the slide.
- The S&P 500 fell 4.9% over the same days.
−1Long-term trend
Down 35% from Aug 10 to Nov 6.
−1Long-term trend
ARM's Quality Score fell 3 points on Mon, Nov 9, to 6.
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| The company | Sales up 24% on the year |
| Latest filing | 6-K, Nov 4 |
“U.S. chip stocks rebound sharply after Thursday's brutal selloff”
ARM closed +4.7% that day.
After its last 4 reports it closed -2.5% on average, higher 2 of 4 times.
ARM is #26 of 84 by Quality Score.
| Rank | Stock | Quality Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||
| 2 | ||
| 3 | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| Open for its score | ||
| 26 |
Sales over four quarters against a year before: ARM +24%, AVGO +49%, MRVL +31%.
Reports Wed Feb 3, after the close (in 86 days). Confirmed.
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
The figures are not read from the release yet.
“Royalty revenue increased 8% year-over-year to $670 million, driven by the c ontinued adoption of Arm technology with higher royalty rates per chip, such as Armv9 architecture and Arm CSS, and increased deployment of Arm-based chips in data centers.”
ARM's results filing gives no sales by line in a table we read. Its annual report gives the year's, in About.
| Measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.38bn +/- $50m |
“License and other revenue increased 50% year-over-year to $773 million driven by continued strong demand for Arm IP, as well as fluctuation in the timing and size of multiple high-value license agreements and contributions from backlog.”
From its results filing (SEC filing · Nov 4)
Sales grew 23% a year over 3 years, fiscal 2023 to 2026.
Its share count grew 1.3% a year over 3 years.
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | -10.3% | -13.1% | not yet |
| Jul 29, 2026 | +14.7% | +7.4% | +22.1% |
| May 6, 2026 | -6.3% | -10.1% | -6.8% |
Sales grew in three of the last four years, to $4.9B in 2026. It made a profit in each of the five years.
RSI 31.1, MACD below signal, below both averages. Not scored.
5 insiders sold $32.4M across 14 filings in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest:
2 trades disclosed in the last six months. The newest:
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
In ETFs: ARM is 0.8% of SMH, 0.6% of SOXX, and 0.4% of QQQ, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by their holdings as filed for Jun 30, 2026.
Arm Holdings is the IP owner and developer of the Arm architecture, which is used in 99% of the world's smartphone CPU cores. Arm also has a high market share in other battery-powered devices, such as wearables, tablets, and sensors. Arm licenses its architecture for a fee, offering different license types depending on the flexibility the customer needs. Customers such as Apple or Qualcomm buy architectural licenses, which allow them to modify the architecture and add or remove instructions to tailor the chips to their specific needs. Other clients directly buy off-the-shelf designs from Arm. Both off-the-shelf and architectural customers pay a royalty fee per chip shipped. In 2026, Arm announced plans to launch its own CPU products on top of its existing royalty business.
“We compete based on a variety of factors, including price, performance, energy-efficiency, ease of product customization, product quality, software availability, marketing and distribution capability, customer support, name recognition and financial strength.”
ARM scores 6 today, which Breakaway calls Average. It is #26 of 84 in Semiconductors by Quality Score, with 2 of 14 chart checks firing. Down 35% from Aug 10 to Nov 6. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
ARM scores 6 today, which Breakaway calls Average (6 to 10). That is #26 of 84 in Semiconductors by Quality Score. The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind ARM's 6.
5 insiders sold $32.4M across 14 filings in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest is Laura Kathleen Bartels, Chief Accounting Officer, who sold $4.4M on Jun 2. Every filing, with the scored weight, for Pro members.
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Insider and Congress trades, the chart, and the financials, in one score.
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