Why AES lags the market
Down 23% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 72%.
- Natural gas went from $5.53 on Nov 8, 2021 to $2.63 per million Btu on Nov 3, 2026 (EIA spot price).
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Down 23% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 72%.
| Latest filing | 10-Q, Nov 3 |
After its last 2 reports it closed +2.8% on average, higher 1 of 2 times.
Below Averagefor quality, not price, 5 of 14 chart checks firingWhat the Quality Score means
AES is #72 of 84 by Quality Score.
| Rank | Stock | Quality Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||
| 2 | ||
| 3 | ||
| 72 |
Sales over four quarters against a year before: AES +12%, TLN +72%, CEG +26%.
Expected to report Mon Mar 1, after the close (in 111 days).
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | -0.1% | -0.2% | -0.1% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | +0.3% | +5.8% | +6.2% |
Sales grew in three of the last seven years, to $12B in 2025. It made a profit in six of the eight years.
RSI 49.8, MACD below signal, above both averages. Not scored.
Its free cash flow over the last four quarters was -$1.5B, while it paid dividends.
| Dividend | $0.70 a share a year |
| Paid out | About $502M a year |
| Free cash flow | -$1.5B |
3 trades disclosed in the last six months. The newest:
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
In ETFs: AES is under 0.1% of VYM, under 0.1% of SPYI, and under 0.1% of IVV, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by each fund's latest filing, Jun 30 to Jul 31, 2026.
AES is a global power company that operates in 15 countries. Its generation portfolio totals over 32 gigawatts, including renewable energy (50%), gas (32%), coal (16%), and oil (2%). AES owns a majority stake and operates six electric utilities, distributing power to more than 2.5 million customers.
AES scores 0 today, which Breakaway calls Below Average. It is #72 of 84 in Utilities by Quality Score, with 5 of 14 chart checks firing. Down 23% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 72%. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
AES scores 0 today, which Breakaway calls Below Average (0 to 5). That is #72 of 84 in Utilities by Quality Score. The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind AES's 0.
Expected to report Mon Mar 1, after the close, a date Breakaway expects from the company's usual timing; the company has not confirmed it. AES closed higher after 1 of its last 2 reports. Past behavior, not a forecast.
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Insider and Congress trades, the chart, and the financials, in one score.
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