Thrive Holdings is buying ADT
ADT's Quality Score fell 1 point on Tue, Nov 10, to 13. Buying slipped from its highest in 20 days (3 chart checks stopped).
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Up 33% on Oct 29, and still 34% over its Oct 28 close.
“ADT to be Acquired by Thrive Holdings in $15.3 Billion Transaction.”
Up 12% over the five years to Nov 9 while the S&P 500 rose 72%; up 33% on Oct 29.
2 reasons, from its filings, with the timeline, for Pro members.
| The chart | Stronger than 90% of stocks |
| Latest filing | 8-K, Nov 3 |
After its last 4 reports it closed -1.2% on average, higher 3 of 4 times.
Above Averagefor quality, not price, 7 of 14 chart checks firingWhat the Quality Score means
Well above its recent run. ADT scores 13 today, against a median of 4 over its last 20 recorded sessions.
| Rank | Stock | Quality Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | ||
| 2 | ||
Expected to report Mon Mar 1, before the open (in 111 days).
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
Sales of $1.3B, 4% more than a year ago; a profit of $0.20 a share, from $0.17.
“The increase was primarily driven by higher security installation, product, and other revenue due to an increase in the mix of professionally installed systems under the outright sales model.”
| Line | Q3 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monitoring and Related Services | $1.1B | $1.1B | $1.1B |
Each quarter's sales and their share of its total. Figures as filed (SEC filing, Nov 3)
No outlook figures read from this release.
Sales fell 0.7% a year over 5 years, fiscal 2020 to 2025.
Pays $0.22 a share a year.
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | +0.2% | +0.2% | +1.0% |
| Jul 30, 2026 | -1.5% | +1.4% | +3.9% |
| Apr 30, 2026 | +6.0% | +5.0% | -2.6% |
Sales grew in five of the last six years, to $5.1B in 2025. It made a profit in four of the seven years.
RSI 85.8, MACD above signal, above both averages. Not scored.
Its dividends come to 9% of its free cash flow.
| Dividend | $0.22 a share a year |
| Paid out | About $174M a year |
| Free cash flow | $1.9B |
One insider bought $101K across 1 filing in the last 6 months. No open-market sales on record. The newest:
4 trades disclosed in the last six months. The newest:
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
In ETFs: ADT is under 0.1% of VYM and under 0.1% of VTI, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by each fund's latest filing, Jun 30 to Jul 31, 2026.
ADT Inc is a provider of security, interactive, and smart home solutions serving consumer and small business customers in the United States (U.S.). The Company conducts business under the ADT brand name.
“Our approach to competition is to emphasize the quality and reputation of our offerings and industry-leading brand, our superior customer service, unique product and service offerings, our network of customer support and monitoring centers, commitment to consumer privacy, and knowledge of customer needs.”
ADT scores 13 today, which Breakaway calls Above Average. It has 7 of 14 chart checks firing. Up 33% on Oct 29, and still 34% over its Oct 28 close. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
ADT scores 13 today, which Breakaway calls Above Average (11 to 14). The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind ADT's 13.
One insider bought $101K across 1 filing in the last 6 months. No open-market sales on record. The newest is Jeffrey Likosar, Pres Corp Dev & Trans. & CFO, who bought $101K on May 29.
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Insider and Congress trades, the chart, and the financials, in one score.
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