Why is AA down?
Down 12% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 76%.
- Alumina sales fell from $4.25B to $3.66B in fiscal 2025, 28% of the total, its 10-K says.
1 more reason, free with an account →The other side and the timeline, for Pro members.
Alcoa (AA) stock
$39.88
Quality Score
3
In its sector
#103of 244
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Key facts on AA
| Since its 2022 high | Down 59% |
| Latest filing | 8-K, Oct 15 |
1 more reason behind AA's 3, free with an account →1 more reason behind AA's 3, for Pro members.
What moves aluminum
Aluminum$3,283
AA catalysts
Coming up
After its last 4 reports it closed -3.0% on average, higher 1 of 4 times.
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Why AA scores 3
Below Averagefor quality, not price, 2 of 14 chart checks firingWhat the Quality Score means
- +2Chart checks 2 of 14 firing right now, one point each
- −2Long-term trend below a falling 200-day average, down over two years
- Size adds
- Profit adds
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AA has 2 of 14 chart checks firing
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AA RSI today: 41.7, below its 50-day and 200-day averages
- RSI 1441.7
- MACD (12, 26, 9)Above signal
- 50-day average$44.42
- 200-day average$56.30
- 50/200 crossDeath cross
- ADX 1417.1
- Support$37.70
- Resistance$40.38
- 52-week high$84.38
- 52-week low$35.12
- Chart patternWedge
- Bollinger Bands (20, 2)Inside
- Volume0.7x
The deep dive on AA
- What it does and how it makes money
- Where it stands
- What changed in its filingsSEC filing · Feb 26, 2026, against the one of Feb 20, 2025
- Who holds and trades it
11 more findings on AA, each with its source, for Pro membersGet in free →
How AA ranks in Materials
AA is #103 of 244 by Quality Score.
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When does AA report earnings, and what happens after?
Expected to report Thu Jan 21, after the close (in 80 days). Expected.
What an earnings report is: every 3 months, a company tells everyone how much it sold and earned. We read the figures, the outlook, and how the stock moved after.
What AA reported on Oct 15, 2026
The quarter
Sales of $3.7B, 24% more than a year ago.
“Sequentially, the results reflect favorable mark-to-market changes on the Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma’aden) shares and energy contracts, improved production costs, and higher alumina prices, partially offset by lower aluminum prices and shipments.”
Where the sales came from
AA's results filing gives no sales by line in a table we read.
The outlook
| Measure | Figure |
|---|---|
| Interest expense | about $185M |
In the company's words
“Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items was $789 million, as improved production costs in both the Aluminum and Alumina segments and higher alumina prices were more than offset by lower aluminum prices and shipments, resulting in a sequential decrease of $112 million.”
From its results filing (SEC filing · Oct 15)
The numbers
- $11B
- today
- $14B
- up 6.5% on the year
- $352M
- last 12 months
Sales grew 6.7% a year over 5 years, fiscal 2020 to 2025.
Pays $0.40 a share a year.
The whole report on AA: every line of its sales, every outlook beside the one it replaced, and the company's words, for Pro members.Get in free →
| Reported | Gap | Reaction | 5 sessions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | +3.0% | +2.5% | -4.3% |
| Jul 16, 2026 | -0.7% | -6.1% | -3.4% |
| Apr 16, 2026 | -7.6% | -6.8% | -7.2% |
AA sales and profit by year
Sales grew in four of the last seven years, to $13B in 2025. It made a profit in four of the eight years.
Is AA's dividend covered? What its financials say
Its dividends come to 30% of its free cash flow.
| Dividend | $0.40 a share a year |
| Paid out | About $106M a year |
| Free cash flow | $352M |
Insiders trading AA
AA insider trades
4 insiders sold $1.3M across 4 filings in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest:
SellRenato Bacchi$36K
All 4 insider filings on AA from the last six months, for Pro members.Get in free →
AA trades by Congress and the executive branch
One trade disclosed in the last six months. The newest:
SellMichael McCaul$1K to $15K
AA's officers and directors
Officers and directors with a Form 4 in the last 12 months.
Which ETFs hold AA?
In ETFs: AA is under 0.1% of VTI, the most of the 24 funds Breakaway covers, by their holdings as filed for Jun 30, 2026.
About Alcoa
Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum. It is one of the world's largest bauxite miners and alumina refiners by production volume, but sits outside the top-10 aluminum producers, a list dominated by Chinese companies. Profits are closely tied to prevailing commodity prices along the aluminum supply chain.Alcoa was the first mass producer of aluminum, launching the world-changing Hall-Heroult smelting process in the 1880s, making aluminum affordable. It was listed as a public company in 1925. In 2016, Alcoa spun off its automotive and aerospace metal parts segment to focus on mining, smelting, and refining. It bought the 40% unowned balance of AWAC in mid-2024.
What Alcoa says it competes with
“Alcoa is subject to highly competitive conditions in all aspects of the aluminum supply chain in which it competes.”
2 more sentences, what it says it does, and its sales by region, for Pro membersGet in free →
AA's score card
Pro members see every line of every stock's score.
- What would turn AA's score around: 5 things
- 3 more filings explained, a plain line each
- Real-time prices, no delay
BreakawayJul 8Michael McCaul sold AA
Straight Answers
Is AA a good stock to buy? What its Quality Score says
AA scores 3 today, which Breakaway calls Below Average. It is #103 of 244 in Materials by Quality Score, with 2 of 14 chart checks firing. Down 12% over five years while the S&P 500 rose 76%. Breakaway does not say whether to buy any stock: the score does not know your situation, and it is not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Please do your own research.
What is AA's Quality Score?
AA scores 3 today, which Breakaway calls Below Average (0 to 5). That is #103 of 244 in Materials by Quality Score. The score adds up the chart checks, the trend, the company's filed sales, its profits, the news, insider trades, and Congress trades. The section above lists the lines behind AA's 3.
Are insiders buying AA?
4 insiders sold $1.3M across 4 filings in the last 6 months. No open-market buys on record. The newest is Renato Bacchi, EVP & Chief Commercial Officer, who sold $36K on Aug 31. Every filing, with the scored weight, for Pro members.
Are the prices delayed?
Only on the public pages, which run at least 15 minutes behind. Pro members, and anyone on a guest pass, see real-time prices: the scanner refreshes every 15 seconds, and your watchlist every few seconds, pre-market and after hours included.