Concepts

Predictive checks: the coil before the move

By Andrew Gomes Updated

Why Breakaway calls four of its checks predictive, and how to use them to find setups before they break out.

What they are

Most chart checks describe a move that already happened. The stock is above its averages, near its high, or up on heavy volume. Four checks describe a condition that builds before a move. The first is on-balance volume at a high while the price is not. The second is Bollinger Bands inside Keltner Channels. The third is the narrowest range in seven days. The fourth is more volume on up days than down days over fifty days. The card labels those four predictive and counts how many are lit.

  • Early signs, on the card

    The predictive checks lit today, in one line with a bolt.

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Why they matter

A stock with two or three predictive checks lit and a full trend stack is compressed inside an uptrend. Compressed means its daily range has gone tight. That is the coil many traders wait for, before the move rather than after it. Buying after the move means paying a worse price for the same information.

How to use them

Sort the scanner by Chart checks, the check count, and scan the cards for the lightning-bolt line. Stocks with predictive +2 or +3 and a trending-up regime, meaning the stock has a clear upward direction, are the ones this reading picks out. A watchlist and an alert for a score crossing or a break of the prior high keep them in view. The Fresh list shows which of them lit a new check today.

Related

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Breakaway scores 3,179 US stocks on 14 chart checks and the Quality Score, every 15 seconds.

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